Subindices
A broad set of indices offering granular insights across various facets of the Indian economy
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Near-term Outlook
With food inflation still low and favorable base effects, headline CPI is projected around 2.5–3.0% in coming months
Near-term Outlook
While RBI’s rate cuts and CRR reductions aim to ease liquidity, transmission to borrowers remains uneven; credit growth is expected to gradually recover as lending rates fall.
Near-term Outlook
The services sector is expected to maintain its growth trajectory, supported by sustained domestic demand and international orders.
Near-term Outlook
The manufacturing sector is expected to remain the main growth engine, with continued strong order inflows, robust hiring, and positive trends in key segments such as machinery, vehicles, and metals.
Near-term Outlook
The India Meteorological Department predicts above-normal monsoon rains for the upcoming season (106% of the long-period average), which is expected to further boost agricultural production and support another year of robust output.
Near-term Outlook
India is projected to remain the fastest-growing major economy in 2025-26, with growth supported by domestic consumption, policy reforms, and ongoing fiscal consolidation, even as global growth slows to its lowest pace since 2008.
Near-term Outlook
We anticipate another 25 bps rate reduction later in FY 26 if inflation stays below 3%, with RBI maintaining flexibility.
Near-term Outlook
The RBI’s accommodative stance and ample liquidity are expected to sustain positive market sentiment, supporting further gains in equities.