Subindices
A broad set of indices offering granular insights across various facets of the Indian economy
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Near-term Outlook
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) projects average CPI inflation at 4% for the fiscal year 2025-26, with quarterly estimates of 3.6% for Q1, 3.9% for Q2, 3.8% for Q3, and 4.4% for Q4.
Near-term Outlook
The Financial Sector Soundness Index is gradually moving upwards to 72.8, suggesting a sound banking system.
Near-term Outlook
The services sector is expected to maintain its growth trajectory, supported by sustained domestic demand and international orders.
Near-term Outlook
With the Manufacturing PMI at a one-year high and strong export orders, the manufacturing sector is poised to maintain its growth trajectory in the near term.
Near-term Outlook
Favourable monsoon and improved agricultural production are likely to strengthen rural consumption and demand recovery in the coming months.
Near-term Outlook
The announcement of 26% U.S. tariffs on Indian exports has added to global trade uncertainties, potentially affecting investor confidence and market dynamics.
Near-term Outlook
The Global Economic Impact Index has dropped to 44.3 as of March 31, 2025, suggesting increasing geopolitical challenges affecting India's economy. This development offers limited stability for trade activities, especially with U.S. tariff impact, and provides little assurance for foreign investor confidence.
Near-term Outlook
With inflation well within the RBI's target range and growth projections revised downward to 6.5% for FY2025–26, there is room for additional rate reductions to bolster economic activity.