Subindices
A broad set of indices offering granular insights across various facets of the Indian economy
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Near-term Outlook
We expect the disinflationary trend to persist over the coming months, underpinned by record food harvests, favorable monsoon outcomes, and robust cereal production.
Near-term Outlook
The financial sector is forecast to maintain its soundness, with banks’ and NBFCs’ strong buffers and healthy balance sheets supporting credit supply and risk absorption in the near term.
Near-term Outlook
The sharp rise in new orders and sustained demand suggests services growth will remain elevated, supporting broader economic activity.
Near-term Outlook
Industrial output is expected to retain a moderate growth trajectory in the coming months, primarily underpinned by stable domestic demand and continued growth in manufacturing.
Near-term Outlook
The outlook remains optimistic, but continued vigilance is needed against climate variability, global food price swings, and changing domestic food demand, with policy measures expected to address these evolving risks.
Near-term Outlook
Markets have a historically positive track record in July; renewed hopes around U.S.–India trade talks and cooling crude prices may sustain momentum.
Near-term Outlook
India is projected to remain the fastest-growing major economy in 2025-26, with growth supported by domestic consumption, policy reforms, and ongoing fiscal consolidation, even as global growth slows to its lowest pace since 2008.
Near-term Outlook
We anticipate another 25 bps rate reduction later in FY 26 if inflation continues to stay below 3%, with RBI maintaining flexibility.