Subindices
A broad set of indices offering granular insights across various facets of the Indian economy
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Near-term Outlook
October 2025 inflation is expected to remain low, potentially near 1%, continuing the disinflationary trend due to sustained favourable base effects and ongoing GST rationalisation impacts.
Near-term Outlook
The Financial Sector Soundness Index anticipates continued measured credit expansion in the final quarter of 2025, aligned with stable borrowing costs and sufficient liquidity in the system.
Near-term Outlook
The Services Sector Activity Index is expected to maintain a strong growth trajectory by the end of Q4 2025, supported by stable domestic consumption and seasonal demand during the festive season.
Near-term Outlook
In the near term, the Industrial Sector Performance Index points to moderate but stable growth momentum driven by festive demand, infrastructure investments, and export support.
Near-term Outlook
The Agriculture Output Index reflects a healthy production outlook for late 2025, with medium-term prospects tied closely to reservoir sustainability and the quality of post-monsoon weather.
Near-term Outlook
The Equity Market Optimism Index foresees sustained bullishness in the near term supported by the ongoing Q2 earnings season, continued foreign inflows, and positive macroeconomic factors such as India's IMF-upgraded growth forecasts and benign inflation trends.
Near-term Outlook
The Global Economic Impact Index suggests that India’s external sector will be tested by continued geopolitical uncertainties and fluctuating global commodity prices, but policy buffers such as forex reserves and active engagement in trade diversification will aid stability.
Near-term Outlook
The Interest Rate Outlook Index suggests stability in policy rates through late 2025, with market expectations pointing to a possible 25 basis points cut in late FY26 as inflationary pressures remain subdued and private investment picks up.